Unemployment Lines Shrinking
Cited: MSNBC
Weekly jobless claims, now a widely watched economic indicator, fell to their lowest level in more than four years last week, as reported by the Labor Department. The promising data was well-received by the market with many economists hopeful that the job market is indeed improving and that these figures are evidence of growing employment in the U.S. For the week, the Labor Department reported that jobless claims fell by 50,000 in the week ending January 14, to 352,000 from a revised level of 402,000 the week prior. Economists were looking for claims to come in closer to 385,000 so the news made for some happy faces on Wall Street and Main St.
In looking for trends, economists will more often look to moving averages, which smooth out the data for onetime fluctuations, and even when looking at the 4-week moving average for jobless claims, the news is good with a drop of 3.500 to an average of 379,000 from the previous week at 382,500.
Most are expressing cautious optimism following the jobs report because there are also season factors at work here on the back of the holiday season when many people are hired back to work, only to be back on the unemployment lines a few short weeks after holidays are over. But, even taking these season factors into account, there is reason to be hopeful that the employment picture is getting more clear and for those looking for work, perhaps its getting a bit easier to find a job. With over 13 million Americans still unemployed and the overall unemployment rate still stuck near 8.5%, it will take a lot more reports like today’s before there’s any significant drop in the unemployment rate.
Other areas of positive news for the economy today came from the inflation data at the consumer level or the CPI, which was flat for the second straight month in December.
My take:
Just another example that things do take time and all of the claims that the Obama Administration is killing the economy may very well just be biased bluster and over time will look more and more like the partisan politics that it really is. Things might not be moving quickly enough, but they are moving for sure. I am hopeful that the data in the coming weeks will support the notion that the economy is pulling out of the ditch.
